炎症介质水平与支原体肺炎患儿肺功能的相关性及对病情不同严重程度的预测效能分析
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2023年安徽省临床医学研究转化专项项目(202304295107020119)


Investigation into the association between inflammatory mediator levels and pulmonary function in pediatric mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia cases, coupled with an assessment of their prognostic utility in predicting disease severity
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    目的 研究肺炎支原体肺炎(MPP)患儿血清炎症介质水平与肺功能的相关性,并探究炎症介质水平对病情不同严重程度的预测效能。方法 选取2023年1月—2024年12月于本院就诊的 114 例MPP患儿作为研究对象,选取同期 100 例非MPP感染肺炎患儿作为对照(非MPP组),进一步根据病情严重程度将114 例MPP患儿分为轻症组81例和重症组33例。采用Spearman偏相关进行相关性分析,采用多因素Logistic回归分析影响因素,利用ROC曲线评估预测价值。结果 与非MPP组相比,MPP组患儿的血清NLR、ESR、WBC、IL-4水平较低,PCT、IL-6、TNF-α水平较高;与轻症MPP组相比,重症MPP组患儿的血清NLR、CRP、WBC、IL-4、IL-6较高。偏相关分析显示,NLR、IL-4均与FVC呈负相关;IL-6、CRP与FVC呈正相关;NLR与FEV1/FVC呈正相关;IL-6与FEV1/FVC呈负相关;但PCT、TNF-α、ESR、WBC水平与肺功能指标相关性不显著。CRP(OR=1.502)、WBC(OR=3.224)、IL-4(OR=5.690)、IL-6(OR=1.356)水平是MPP患儿病情严重程度的独立影响因素。ROC曲线显示联合预测AUC最高0.990(0.978~1.000),灵敏度为0.960(0.922~0.998),特异度为0.962(0.911~1.000)。结论 炎症介质CRP、WBC、IL-4、IL-6水平对MPP患儿病情严重程度具有良好的预测价值,且与肺功能具有一定的相关性

    Abstract:

    Objective To investigate the correlation between serum levels of inflammatory mediators and pulmonary function in children with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP), and explore the predictive efficacy of inflammatory mediator levels in differentiating varying degrees of disease severity. Methods A cohort of 114 pediatric patients diagnosed with MPP and treated at our hospital from January 2023 to December 2024 was enrolled as the study population. Meanwhile, 100 pediatric patients with non-MPP infectious pneumonia during the same period were chosen as the control group (non-MPP group). Furthermore, the 114 MPP pediatric patients were further divided into a mild-case group (n=81) and a severe-case group (n=33) based on the severity of their illness. Spearman's partial correlation analysis was employed to examine the correlations. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify influencing factors. ROC curves were utilized to evaluate the predictive value. Results Compared with the non-MPP group, children in the MPP group exhibited lower serum levels of neutrophil- to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), white blood cell count (WBC), procalcitonin (PCT), and interleukin-4 (IL-4), while higher levels of interleukin-6 (IL-6) and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α). When comparing the severe-case MPP group with the mild - case MPP group, children in the severe-case group had higher serum levels of NLR, C-reactive protein (CRP), WBC, IL-4, and IL-6. Partial correlation analysis revealed that NLR, IL-6, and IL-4 were all negatively correlated with FVC. CRP was positively correlated with FVC. NLR was positively correlated with the ratio of FEV1/FVC, whereas IL-6 and IL-4 were negatively correlated with FEV1/FVC. However, no significant correlations were observed between the levels of PCT, TNF-α, ESR, WBC and pulmonary function indicators. The levels of CRP (OR=1.502), WBC (OR=3.224), IL-4 (OR=5.690), and IL-6 (OR=1.356) were identified as independent influencing factors for the severity of illness in pediatric patients with MPP. The ROC curve analysis demonstrated that the combined prediction model achieved the highest AUC of 0.990 (95% confidence interval: 0.978~1.000), with a sensitivity of 0.960 (95% confidence interval: 0.922~0.998) and a specificity of 0.962 (95% confidence interval: 0.911~1.000). Conclusion The levels of inflammatory mediators, namely CRP, WBC, IL - 4, and IL-6, exhibit good predictive value for the severity of illness in pediatric patients with MPP and show a certain degree of correlation with pulmonary function

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-05-19
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