磁共振成像影像组学模型预测乳腺癌患者化疗耐药性的价值分析
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广东省医学科研基金项目(B2021369);2022年北京大学深圳医院科研项目(LCYJ2022006)


The value of MRI imaging model in predicting chemoresistance of breast cancer patients
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    目的 探讨基于磁共振成像(MRI)影像组学模型预测乳腺癌患者化疗耐药性的临床价值。方法 选择2021年1月—2024年12月我院收治的240例乳腺癌患者,按时间顺序分为训练集(160例)和验证集(80例)。所有患者均接受以紫杉醇类和蒽环类药物为基础的新辅助化疗方案,化疗结束后根据残留癌负荷(RCB)指数和肿瘤缩小率评估化疗耐药性。基于PyRadiomics平台从MRI图像中提取851个影像组学特征,通过LASSO回归筛选出10个最具预测价值的特征。构建临床模型、影像组学模型和联合模型,采用多层次验证策略评估模型性能。结果 240例患者中58例发生化疗耐药,耐药率为24.17%(训练集25.00%,验证集22.50%)。耐药组患者的雌激素受体(ER)、孕激素受体(PR)、人表皮生长因子受体2(HER-2)、Ki-67表达阳性率显著高于敏感组(P<0.05)。多因素分析显示,ER阳性、Ki-67≥20%、相对平均峰度(rMK)、相对平均扩散率(rMD)、表观扩散系数(ADC)平均值和剂量强度完成率是化疗耐药的独立预测因子。联合模型在训练集和验证集中的AUC分别为0.891(95%CI:0.842~0.940)和0.879(95%CI:0.806~0.952),敏感度分别为87.50%和88.89%,特异度分别为88.33%和85.48%,预测性能显著优于单独的临床模型和影像组学模型(P<0.05)。Bootstrap验证显示模型具有良好的稳定性和一致性。结论 基于MRI影像组学的联合预测模型能够有效预测乳腺癌患者化疗耐药性,可为临床个体化治疗决策提供客观、准确的影像学依据

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    Objective To investigate the clinical value of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) radiomics model in predicting chemotherapy resistance in breast cancer patients.Methods 240 breast cancer patients admitted from January 2021 to December 2024 were selected and divided into training set (160 cases) and verification set (80 cases) in chronological order. All patients received neoadjuvant chemotherapy regimens based on taxanes and anthracyclines. Chemotherapy resistance was evaluated based on residual cancer burden (RCB) index and tumor shrinkage rate after treatment completion. A total of 851 radiomics features were extracted from MRI images using the PyRadiomics platform, and 10 most predictive features were selected through LASSO regression. Clinical model, radiomics model, and combined model were constructed, with multi-level validation strategies employed to assess model performance. Results Among 240 patients, 58 developed chemotherapy resistance, with a resistance rate of 24.17% (25.00% in training cohort, 22.50% in validation cohort). The resistant group showed significantly higher positive expression rates of estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER-2), and Ki-67 compared to the sensitive group (P<0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed that ER positivity, Ki-67≥20%, relative mean kurtosis (rMK), relative mean diffusion (rMD), mean apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) value, and dose intensity completion rate were independent predictors of chemotherapy resistance. The combined model achieved AUCs of 0.891 (95%CI:0.842-0.940) and 0.879 (95%CI: 0.806-0.952) in training and validation cohorts respectively, with sensitivities of 87.50% and 88.89%, and specificities of 88.33% and 85.48%, significantly outperforming individual clinical and radiomics models (P<0.05). Bootstrap validation demonstrated good stability and consistency of the model. Conclusion The MRI radiomics-based combined predictive model can effectively predict chemotherapy resistance in breast cancer patients, providing objective and accurate imaging evidence for clinical individualized treatment decision-making

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-04-17
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