中低危分化型甲状腺癌术后131 I治疗反应的预测因素及Tg对治疗反应的预测价值
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四川省自然科学基金项目(2024NSFSC0667)


Analysis of predictive factors for the response to 131 I therapy in patients with low- and intermediate-risk differentiated thyroid cancer
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    目的 探讨中低危分化型甲状腺癌(DTC)术后131 I治疗反应的影响因素,并评估甲状腺球蛋白(Tg)水平对治疗反应的预测价值。方法 回顾性分析2009年1月—2022年12月四川省人民医院核医学科收治的389例中低危DTC患者的临床资料,所有患者均行手术并接受131 I治疗。治疗后随访6~204个月,中位时间75个月。按治疗结果将患者分为完全缓解组(ER组,n=310)组和未完全缓解组(NER组,n=79)。比较ER组和NER组基线资料,采用多因素分析治疗结局的影响因素。结果 两组性别、T分期、N分期、累积剂量、治疗前甲状腺功能(TSH、FT3、FT4、Tg)及手术方式对131 I治疗反应比较,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。多因素分析显示,N分期、累积剂量和Tg是治疗结局的独立预测因素(P<0.05)。ROC曲线分析表明,治疗前刺激性Tg(sTg)和治疗后抑制性Tg(iTg)对ER/NER的预测能力较好,AUC为0.773~0.886(P<0.05)。结论 N分期、累积剂量和Tg是中低危分化型甲状腺癌术后131 I治疗结局的独立预测因素,其中Tg是重要的动态随访指标,可用于预测131 I的治疗反应

    Abstract:

    Objective To explore the influencing factors of postoperative 131 I treatment response in intermediate- and low-risk differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) and evaluate the predictive value of thyroglobulin (Tg) levels. Methods Clinical data from 389 intermediate- and low-risk DTC patients who underwent surgery followed by 131 I therapy were retrospectively analyzed. The follow-up duration ranged from 6 to 204 months (median 75 months). Patients were categorized into an excellent response (ER) group (n=310) and a non-excellent response (NER) group (n=79) based on treatment outcomes. Baseline characteristics were compared between groups, and multivariate analysis was performed to identify independent predictors. Results Significant differences in gender, T stage, N stage, cumulative 131 I dose, preoperative thyroid function (TSH, FT3, FT4, Tg), and surgical approach were observed between ER and NER groups (P<0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed that N stage, cumulative 131 I dose, and Tg levels were independent predictors of treatment outcomes (P<0.05). ROC curve analysis demonstrated strong predictive performance of stimulated thyroglobulin(sTg) and inhibitory thyroglobulin(iTg) for ER/NER, with AUC values of 0.773-0.886 (P<0.05). Conclusion N stage, cumulative 131 I dose, and Tg (sTgand iTg)levels are independent predictors of postoperative 131 I treatment response in intermediate- and low-risk DTC. Tg serves as a critical dynamic follow-up marker for predicting 131 I therapeutic efficacy

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-03-19
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