基于AMR及血脂变异性构建急性STEMI患者行急诊PCI术后发生心室不良重构预测模型
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安徽省自然科学基金项目(2208085MH192);阜阳市重点研究与开发计划项目(FYZDYF2023LCYX001)


Construct a prediction model of ventricular malreconstruction after emergency PCI in acute STEMI patients based on angiography-derived microcirculatory resistance and lipid variability
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    摘要:

    目的 探讨基于微循环阻力指数(AMR)、血脂变异性构建急性ST段抬高型心肌梗死(STEMI)患者行急诊经皮冠状动脉介入术(PCI)术后发生心室不良重构预测模型。方法 回顾性选取2022年1月—2024年1月蚌埠医科大学第一附属医院收治的急性STEMI患者行急诊PCI术312例,收集患者术前、术后6个月临床资料,根据是否发生心室不良重构,分为心室重构组(n=87)和无心室重构组(n=225),对比两组患者基线期指标与血脂变异性指标,基于上述指标构建预测模型,分析其临床价值。〖HTH〗结果 无心室重构组与心室重构组年龄、总缺血时间、罪犯血管、AMR、术后心电图ST段回落≥50%存在统计学差异(P<0.05)。Lasso回归分析筛选10个因素进入Logistic回归分析,Logistic回归分析结果显示,AMR、低密度脂蛋白标准差(LDL-SD)、低密度脂蛋白变异系数(LDL-CV)、低密度脂蛋白变异指数(LDL-VIM)、高密度脂蛋白标准差(HDL-SD)、高密度脂蛋白变异系数(HDL-CV)、高密度脂蛋白变异指数(HDL-VIM)、脂蛋白(a)标准差[LP(a)-SD]、脂蛋白(a)变异系数[LP(a)CV]、脂蛋白(a)变异指数[LP(a)-VIM]是影响急性STEMI患者行急诊PCI术后发生心室不良重构的危险因素(P<0.05)。将多因素Logistic回归分析筛选出的10个危险因素,构建模型,Bootstrap重复采样法进行内部验证,结果显示,预测模型的指数C为0.771;ROC为0.771,原始曲线与矫正曲线拟合良好,表明预测模型的预测效果较好。结论 AMR、血脂变异性与急性STEMI患者行急诊PCI术后发生心室不良重构有关,基于AMR、血脂变异性所构建的预测模型对急性STEMI患者行急诊PCI术后发生心室不良重构具有较高的预测价值

    Abstract:

    Objective To construct a predictive model for adverse ventricular remodeling in patients with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) undergoing emergency percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) based on angiography-derived microcirculatory resistance(AMR) and lipid variability. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 312 patients with acute STEMI who underwent emergency PCI from The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical University January 2022 to January 2024. Clinical data were collected preoperatively and at 6 months postoperatively. Patients were divided into two groups based on the occurrence of ventricular remodeling: the ventricular remodeling group (n=87) and the non-ventricular remodeling group (n=225). Baseline indices and lipid variability indices were compared between the two groups. A predictive model was constructed using the aforementioned indices and its clinical value was analyzed. Results Significant differences were observed in age, total ischemic time, culprit vessel, and AMR、Postoperative electrocardiogram ST segment drop of more than 50% between the non-ventricular remodeling group and the ventricular remodeling group (P<0.05). Lasso regression analysis identified 10 factors to be included in the logistic regression analysis. Logistic regression analysis indicated that AMR, LDL-SD, LDL-CV, LDL-VIM, HDL-SD, HDL-CV, HDL-VIM, LP(a)-SD, LP(a)-CV, and LP(a)-VIM are risk factors affecting the occurrence of adverse ventricular remodeling in patients with acute STEMI undergoing emergency PCI (P<0.05). A model was constructed using the 10 risk factors selected by multivariate logistic regression analysis. Internal validation was performed using the Bootstrap resampling method. The results showed that the predictive model had an index C of 0.771 and an ROC of 0.771, with good fit between the original curve and the corrected curve, indicating good predictive performance of the model. Conclusion AMR and lipid variability are associated with the occurrence of adverse ventricular remodeling in patients with acute STEMI undergoing emergency PCI. The predictive model constructed based on AMR and lipid variability has high predictive value for adverse ventricular remodeling in patients with acute STEMI undergoing emergency PCI

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-03-19
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