基线血清白蛋白-胆固醇比值对维持性血液透析患者长期生存预测价值的研究
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血清白蛋白;胆固醇;血清白蛋白-胆固醇比值;维持性血液透析;生存预测价值


Predictive value of baseline serum albumin-cholesterol ratio in long-term survival of maintenance hemodialysis patients
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    摘要:

    目的 探讨基线血清白蛋白-胆固醇比值(ACR)对维持性血液透析(MHD)患者长期生存的预测价值。方法 回顾性分析2010年1月—2020年12月本院住院治疗的308例MHD患者的临床资料,根据ACR中位数8.5,将其分为高ACR组和低ACR组,每组154例。对比两组临床相关资料,采用Kaplan-Meier法分析两组生存情况,采用竞争风险模型进一步评估在将其他与死亡存在竞争关系的结局纳入考虑后,两组患者死亡风险之间的差异。采用风险模型分析ACR对MHD全因死亡和心血管死亡的影响。结果 Kaplan-Meier分析显示,高AGR组患者累积全因生存率(Log Rank χ2=6.740,P<0.05)和累积心血管疾病存活率(Log Rank χ2=8.907,P<0.05)均优于低ACR组患者;竞争风险模型显示,在将除死亡结局之外的其他竞争风险因素(如转行腹膜透析、肾移植等)纳入考虑后,低ACR组全因死亡率仍高于高ACR组(P<0.05);单因素分析结果显示,ACR处于低组、胆固醇升高,白蛋白降低为MHD患者全因死亡和心血管死亡的危险因素(P<0.05);绘制ROC曲线结果显示,ACR、白蛋白以及胆固醇对MHD患者长期生存的AUC值分别为0.962、0.765和0.891,ACR预测值大于白蛋白和胆固醇,具有良好的预测价值。结论 低ACR是MHD患者死亡的危险因素,可能对预后生存有预测价值,可作为重要指标。医护人员应针对MHD患者危险因素及ACR<8.5的患者制定预防及治疗措施,以降低死亡率

    Abstract:

    Objective The aim of this study was to investigate the predictive value of baseline serum albumin-cholesterol ratio (ACR) for the long-term survival of maintenance hemodialysis patients (MHD). Methods The clinical data of 308 MHD patients hospitalized in our center from January, 2010, to December, 2020, were retrospectively analyzed. According to the median ACR of 8.5, they were divided into a high-ACR group and a low-ACR group, with 154 cases in each group. The clinical relevant data of the two groups were compared. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to analyze the survival of the two groups, and the competing-risk model was used to further evaluate the difference in the death risk between the two groups after considering other outcomes that compete with death. Univariate analysis was used to analyze the impact of ACR on all-cause death and cardiovascular death in MHD patients. Results Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the cumulative all-cause survlative cardiovascular disease survents in the high-ACR group were better than those in the low-ACR group. The competing-risk model showed that after considering other competing-risk factors other than the death outcome (such as conversion to peritoneal dialysis, kidney transplantation, etc.), the all-cause mortality rate in the low-ACR group was still higher than that in the high-ACR group (P<0.05). The results of univariate analysis showed that being in the low-ACR group, decreased cholesterol and albumin were risk factors for all-cause death and cardiovascular death in MHD patients (P<0.05). The results of drawing the ROC curve showed that the AUC values of ACR, albumin, and cholesterol for the long-term survival of MHD patients were 0.962, 0.765, and 0.891 respectively. The predictive value of ACR was greater than that of albumin and cholesterol, indicating good predictive value. Conclusion Low ACR is a risk factor for death in MHD patients, may have a predictive value for prognostic survival, and can be used as an important indicator. Medical staff should develop preventive and treatment measures for risk factors in MHD patients and patients with ACR<8.5 to reduce the mortality rate

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-11-20
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