涎液化糖链抗原6对急性加重期间质性肺疾病患者预后的预测价值
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江苏省卫生健康委科研项目(H2023005); 江苏省高校重点实验室开放课题 (XZSYSKF2022004);彭城英才—医学重点人才培养项目(XWRCHT20220063)


Predictive value of Krebs von den Lungen-6 for prognosis in patients with interstitial lung disease during acute exacerbation periods
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    摘要:

    目的 探讨涎液化糖链抗原6(KL-6)对间质性肺疾病急性加重(AE-ILD)患者预后的预测价值。方法 回顾性纳入2020年6月—2023年12月徐州医科大学附属医院呼吸与危重症医学科收治的154例AE-ILD患者为研究对象。根据患者住院后90 d内生存状况,将其分为死亡组(n=69)和生存组(n=85)。采用酶联免疫吸附试验检测血清KL-6水平,收集患者临床资料,采用Logistic回归分析影响AE-ILD患者预后的危险因素,受试者操作特征曲线(ROC)分析血清KL-6预测AE-ILD患者预后的价值;采用Kaplan-Meier法绘制生存曲线,生存率的比较采用Log-rank检验。结果 本研究中AE-ILD患者90 d内死亡率为44.8%(69/154)。死亡组合并心血管疾病、住院期间使用抗凝药、使用无创机械通气和有创机械通气比例高于生存组,血清KL-6、乳酸脱氢酶(LDH)、C反应蛋白(CRP)、降钙素原(PCT)、D-二聚体水平高于生存组(均P<0.05),淋巴细胞计数(LYM)和氧合指数(P/F)比值低于生存组(均P<0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析显示,血清KL-6(OR=3.358,95%CI:1.756~6.422)、有创机械通气(OR=13.667,95%CI:2.241~51.586)是AE-ILD患者预后不良的危险因素。ROC分析结果显示,血清KL-6预测AE-ILD患者预后的曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.775(95%CI:0.700~0.850),血清KL-6的最佳截断值为1 259.5 U/mL,敏感度为88.9%,特异度为64.7%;根据血清KL-6最佳截断值将患者分为两组,分别统计患者的生存期,以90 d生存期为上界,生存曲线显示,高水平组(KL-6>1 259.5 U/mL)和低水平组(KL-6<1 259.5 U/mL)比较具有显著差异(P<0.05)。结论 入院时血清KL-6水平是影响AE-ILD患者预后的危险因素,血清KL-6水平>1 259.5 U/mL有助于预测AE-ILD患者预后

    Abstract:

    Objective To explore the predictive value of Krebs von den Lungen-6 for the prognosis of patients with acute exacerbation of interstitial lung disease (AE-ILD).Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 154 patients with AE-ILD admitted to the Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, from June 2020 to December 2023. The patients were divided into death group (69 cases) and survival group (85 cases) based on their survival status 90 days after hospitalization. Serum KL-6 levels were measured using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay, and clinical data were collected. Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the risk factors affecting the prognosis of AE-ILD patients, and the value of serum KL-6 in predicting the prognosis of AE-ILD patients was analyzed using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve; the Kaplan-Meier method was used to draw survival curves, and the comparison of survival rates was performed using the Log-rank test. Results The 90 day mortality rate of AE-ILD patients in this study was 44.8% (69/154). The death group had a higher proportion of patients with cardiovascular diseases, the use of anticoagulants during hospitalization, the use of non-invasive mechanical ventilation, and invasive mechanical ventilation than the survival group, and the levels of serum KL-6, LDH, CRP, PCT, and D-dimer were higher than those in the survival group (all P<0.05), while the LYM and P/F ratio were lower than those in the survival group (both P<0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that serum KL-6 (OR=3.358, 95%CI: 1.756~6.422) and invasive mechanical ventilation (OR=13.667, 95%CI: 2.241~51.586) were risk factors for poor prognosis in AE-ILD patients. The results of ROC analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) for serum KL-6 in predicting the prognosis of AE-ILD patients was 0.775 (95%CI: 0.700~0.850), the optimal cut-off value for serum KL-6 was 1259.5U/ml, with a sensitivity of 88.9% and a specificity of 64.7%. The patients were divided into two groups based on the optimal cut-off value of serum KL-6, and the survival period of each group was statistically analyzed, with a 90-day survival period as the upper limit. The survival curve showed that there was a significant difference between the high-level group (KL-6>1 259.5 U/mL) and the low-level group (KL6<1 259.5 U/mL) (P<0.05). Conclusion The level of serum KL-6 at admission is a risk factor affecting the prognosis of AE-ILD patients, and a serum KL-6 level greater than 1 259.5 U/mL helps to predict the prognosis of AE-ILD patients

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-11-20
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