血清降钙素原及其动态变化对于脓毒症病情严重程度的评估价值
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山西省重点研发计划项目(201903D321160)


The value of dynamic changes of serum procalcitonin in the evaluation of sepsis or septic shock
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    探讨住院早期降钙素原(PCT)及其动态变化对于脓毒症、脓毒性休克患者的评估价值。方法 回顾性分析山西省人民医院2020年5月—2022年2月因感染或可疑感染就诊,最终诊断为“脓毒症”或“脓毒性休克”的135例患者。根据最终诊断,将135例患者分为脓毒症组(n=70)和脓毒性休克组(n=65)。记录并比较两组患者入院时一般资料、入院后24 h内首次检测的血降钙素原(PCT1)、入院后经积极诊疗后(早期抗生素暴露及液体复苏等治疗措施)48 h检测的降钙素原(PCT2)等院内数据,将有意义的数据进行多因素Logistic回归分析筛选独立危险因素,利用受试者工作特征曲线分析相关指标对脓毒性休克的评估价值。结果 共纳入135例患者,男性88例,女性47例,中位年龄67(56,75)岁。脓毒性休克组PCT1、PCT2、乳酸(Lac)均较脓毒症组高(P<0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析显示,PCT2和Lac是影响脓毒症病情严重程度的危险因素。ROC曲线分析显示,PCT2[AUC:0.784 (95%CI:0.708~0.860),P<0.001]和Lac[AUC:0.768 (95%CI:0.688~0.847),P<0.001]评估脓毒症严重程度的价值相当,两指标联合[AUC:0.821(95%CI:0.750~0.891),P<0.001]后评估效能更高。结论 入院48 h降钙素原可以作为预测脓毒性休克发生的指标,其联合入院时的Lac值用于预测发生脓毒性休克价值更高

    Abstract:

    To explore the value of procalcitonin and its dynamic changes in the evaluation of patients with sepsis and septic shock. Methods A retrospective analysis was made of 135 patients who were diagnosed as "sepsis"or "septic shock" according to sepsis 3. 0 diagnostic criteria in Shanxi Provincial People's Hospital from May 2020 to February 2022. According to the final diagnosis, 135 patients were divided into sepsis group (n=70) and septic shock group (n=65). Recording all relevant clinical and laboratory data of patients and comparing the differences of each index between the different groups. By using SPSS 26. 0 software, binary logistic regression was used to screen the risk factors affecting the severity of sepsis, and the receiver operating characteristic curve was used to analyze the evaluation value of PCT and ΔPCT in the severity and prognosis of sepsis. The difference in P<0.05 is statistically significant. Results Comparing the relevant data of sepsis group and septic shock group, The PCT1[12.14(1.50, 58.32)ng/mL], PCT2[9.47(1.09, 48.38)ng/mL], Lac[2.49(1.65, 3.68)mmol/L], in septic shock group were higher than those in sepsis group; The difference was statistically significant (P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that PCT2(OR:1.054, 95%CI:1.004~1.106, P=0.033) and Lac (OR:1.472, 95%CI:1.036~2.091, P=0.031) were the risk factors affecting the severity of sepsis. ROC curve analysis showed that there was little difference between PCT2[AUC: 0.784 (95%CI: 0.708~0.860), P<0.001] and Lac[AUC:0.768(95%CI:0.688~0.847), P<0.001] in the evaluation of sepsis severity, and the evaluation efficiency was higher after the combination of the two indexes[AUC: 0.821(95%CI:0.750~0.891), P<0.001]. Conclusion The serum PCT value at 48 hours after admission (PCT2) can be used as an indicator for evaluating septic shock, PCT2 combined with Lac is more valuable in evaluating septic shock

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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-04-19
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