I-Bil、Cys C、APTT对胡蜂蛰伤发生多器官功能障碍综合征的联合预测价值
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南充市2019年市校合作科研专项(19SXHZ0202)


Combined pedictive value of IBil, Cystatin C and APTT on Multiple Organ Dysfunction Syndrome in patients with wasp stings
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    摘要:

    分析间接胆红素(I-Bil)、胱抑素C(Cys C)、活化部分凝血活酶时间(APTT)对胡蜂蛰伤患者发生多器官功能障碍综合征(MODS)的预测价值。方法 回顾性分析2014~2020年川北医学院附属医院急诊科、肾内科、重症医学科收治的129例胡蜂蜇伤患者临床资料,将患者分为MODS组、非多器官功能障碍综合征(NMODS)组。比较两组患者的实验室检查指标,将两组差异指标采用单因素分析,以多因素Logistic回归分析MODS在胡蜂蜇伤患者中发生的独立危险因素,并用受试者工作特征性(ROC)曲线分析该独立危险因素的预测价值。结果 129例胡蜂蛰伤患者,其中MODS组44例,NMODS组85例。与NMODS组比较,MODS组WBC、GR、hsCRP、ALB、ALT、AST、I-Bil、Cys C、MPV、APTT、CK-MB水平明显升高(P<0.05)。其中I-Bil(OR=1.196, P<0.001)、Cys C(OR=7.214,P=0.016)、APTT(OR=1.032,P=0.047)是胡蜂蛰伤患者发生MODS 的独立危险因素;I-Bil、Cystatin C、APTT水平联合对预测胡蜂蜇伤患者发生 MODS的ROC曲线下与坐标轴围成的面积(AUC)为0.987(P<0.001),最佳截断值为63.31时敏感度为0.93,特异度为0.986。结论 I-Bil、Cys C、APTT水平是胡蜂蛰伤患者发生MODS的独立危险因素,三者联合对胡蜂蛰伤患者发生MODS具有更高的预测价值。

    Abstract:

    To explore the risk factors of developing MODS and the combined value of predicting MODS in patients with wasp sting. Methods Clinical data of 129 patients with wasps stings admitted to the emergency department, nephrology department and critical care medicine department of the Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College from 2014 to 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were divided into MODS group and non-multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (NMODS) group. The laboratory examination indexes of the two groups were compared, and the difference indexes of the two groups were analyzed by univariate analysis. Multivariate Logistic regression was used to analyze the independent risk factors of MODS in patients with wasps stings, and the predictive value of the independent risk factors was analyzed by receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve). Results 129 patients with wasp stings, including 44 cases in the MODS group and 85 cases in the NMODS group, were compared between the two groups of laboratory indicators. The levels of WBC, GR, hsCRP, ALB, ALT, AST, I-Bil, Cystatin C, MPV, APTT and CK-MB in MODS group were significantly higher than those in NMODS group (P<0.05). I-bil (OR=1.196, P<0.001), Cystatin C (OR=7.214, P=0.016) and APTT (OR=1.032, P=0.047) were independent risk factors for MODS in wasp stings. The combined levels of I-Bil, Cystatin C and APTT (hereinafter referred to as I-BIL&Cystatin C&APTT) can predict the MODS of patients with wasps stings. The area under the ROC curve surrounded by the coordinate axes (AUC) was 0.987 (P<0.001), the sensitivity and specificity were 0.93 and 0.986 when the optimal truncation value was 63.31. Conclusion I-Bil, Cystatin C and APTT are risk factors for MODS in wasp sting patients. The combination of I-Bil, Cystatin C and APTT has better predictive value for developing MODS in wasp sting patients.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-12-21
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