动脉血乳酸、降钙素原联合qSOFA评分对脓毒症患者病情评估的价值
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广东省中医药局专项研究课题(20213007);广州市科技计划项目(202102010322)


Assessment value of arterial blood lactic acid, procalcitonin combined with qSOFA scores in patients with sepsis
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    摘要:

    探究动脉血乳酸(Lac)、降钙素原(PCT)联合快速序贯器官衰竭评分(qSOFA)对脓毒症患者病情评估的价值。方法 选取2019年1月~2021年6月广州中医药大学第二附属医院ICU收治的248例脓毒症患者进行回顾性研究,按照病情严重程度分脓毒症组(210例)和脓毒症休克组(38例)。对比两组患者在Lac、PCT、qSOFA评分和Lac、PCT联合qSOFA评分等指标的差异,通过单因素、多因素Logistic回归方法,绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线,综合分析各项指标在评价脓毒症患者病情中的价值。结果 脓毒症休克组Lac、PCT、qSOFA评分较脓毒症组明显升高 (Z=1.314、-3.716、-6.120,均 P<0.001)。多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示,糖尿病病史、Lac(OR=1.410,95% CI:1.196~1.662)、PCT(OR=1.016,95% CI:1.001~1.032)和qSOFA评分(OR=6.710,95% CI:2.534~17.773)是影响脓毒症病情严重程度的独立危险因素(均P<0.05)。Lac、PCT联合qSOFA评分预测脓毒症病情严重程度的曲线下面积(AUC)大于单一指标和两两联合的AUC,其灵敏度和特异度分别为84.2%和86.2%。结论 Lac、PCT联合qSOFA评分预测脓毒症休克的预测效能优于单一指标和两两联合。

    Abstract:

    To analyze the value of arterial blood lactate (Lac), procalcitonin (PCT) combined with quick sequential organ failure score (qSOFA) in evaluating the condition of patients with sepsis. Methods A retrospective study was conducted on 248 sepsis patients admitted to the ICU of our hospital from January 2019 to June 2021. According to the severity of the disease, they were divided into sepsis group (210 cases) and sepsis shock group (38 cases).The differences in Lac, PCT, qSOFA scores and Lac, PCT combined qSOFA scores and other indicators were compared between the two groups of patients. Through univariate and multivariate logistic regression methods and drawing receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the value of each indicator in evaluating the condition of patients with sepsis was comprehensively explored. Results The median value of Lac in sepsis shock group was 39 mmol/L, which was significantly higher than 1.9 mmol/L in sepsis group (Z=1.314, P<0.001). The median value of PCT in sepsis shock group was 9.17ng/mL, which was significantly higher than 1. 99ng /mL in sepsis group (Z=-3.716, P<0.001 ). The median value of qSOFA scores was significantly higher in the sepsis shock group (2 points) than in the sepsis group (1 point) (Z=-6.120, P<0.001), and the differences were statistically significant (all P<0.001). After multivariate logistic regression analysis, it was found that the history of diabetes, Lac (OR=1.410, 95% CI:1.196-1.662), PCT (OR=1.016, 95% CI:1.001-1.032) and qSOFA scores (OR=6.710, 95% CI:2.534-1.032) 17.773) were independent risk factors affecting the severity of sepsis (all P<0.05). The area under the curve (AUC) of Lac, PCT combined with qSOFA score for predicting the severity of sepsis was 0.907, which was greater than the AUC of single index and the AUC of pairwise combination, with sensitivity and specificity of 84.2% and 86.2%, respectively. Conclusion The predictive performance of Lac, PCT combined with qSOFA score in predicting septic shock is better than that of single index and pairwise combination.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-12-21
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