年龄校正的D-二聚体联合简化Geneva评分对老年急性肺栓塞的诊断价值
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The diagnostic value of age-adjusted D-dimer combined simplified Geneva score for elderly patients with acute pulmonary embolism
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    目的 比较分析年龄校正的D-二聚体联合简化Geneva评分预测模型及包含了右心室舒张末期内径(RVED)与左心室舒张末期内径(LVED)的比值(RVED/LVED)三者联合的预测模型对老年急性肺栓塞(APE)的诊断价值。方法选取2011年9月~2019年9月首都医科大学附属北京天坛医院呼吸与危重症医学科收治的疑似老年APE患者136例,检测D-二聚体水平,根据年龄校正D-二聚体是否阳性进行简化Geneva评分,完善超声心动图并计算RVED/LVED。以CT肺动脉造影(CTPA)为“金标准”,分析年龄校正的D-二聚体、简化Geneva评分及RVED/LVED对老年APE的诊断价值,并比较D-二聚体联合简化Geneva评分和三者(年龄校正的D-二聚体、简化Geneva评分、RVED/LVED)联合预测模型对老年APE的诊断价值。结果 年龄校正的D-二聚体诊断老年APE的灵敏度为96%,特异度为80%,阳性预测值为91%,阴性预测值为90%。简化Geneva评分诊断APE的灵敏度为84%,特异度为85%,阳性预测值为89%,阴性预测值为74%。年龄校正的D-二聚体与简化Geneva评分联合阳性诊断老年APE的灵敏度为82%,特异度为93%,阳性预测值为96%,阴性预测值为73%;年龄校正的D-二聚体与简化Geneva评分联合阴性诊断老年APE的灵敏度为98%,特异度为72%,阳性预测值为87%,阴性预测值为94%。ROC曲线显示,年龄校正的D-二聚体诊断老年APE的AUC为0.847[95%CI(0.775,0.929),P<0.001],简化Geneva评分诊断老年APE的AUC为0.772[95%CI(0.687,0.857),P<0.001],RVED/LVED诊断老年APE的AUC为0.657[95%CI(0.560,0.754),P=0.004],REVD/LEVD cut-off值为0.46,年龄校正的D-二聚体联合简化Geneva评分诊断老年APE的AUC为0.852[95%CI(0.779,0.925),P<0.001],三者联合预测老年APE的AUC为0.857[95%CI(0.786,0.928),P<0.001]。结论 年龄校正的D-二聚体与简化Geneva评分联合预测模型对老年APE患者有较高的诊断价值,尤其是包含了RVED/LVED的三者联合预测模型对老年APE的诊断价值更高;当年龄校正的D-二聚体与简化Geneva评分联合阴性时,对于排除诊断APE具有重要的临床意义。

    Abstract:

    Objective To compare the diagnostic value of age-adjusted D-dimer combined with simplified Geneva score and the combined predictive model which including the RVED(right ventricular end-diastolic diameter)/LVED(left ventricular end-diastolic diameter)in elderly APE. Methods A total of 136 suspected elderly patients with acute pulmonary embolism admitted to the Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University were selected from September 2011 to September 2019. D-dimer were detected, simplified Geneva score was performed, echocardiography was improved and RVED/LVED was calculated. The diagnostic value of age-adjusted D-dimer, simplified Geneva score and RVED/LVED in elderly patients with acute pulmonary embolism was analyzed using CT pulmonary angiography(CTPA)as the "gold standard". The diagnostic value of age-adjusted D-dimer combined with simplified Geneva score and the predictive model which including age-adjusted D-dimer, simplified Geneva score and RVED/LVED was compared. Results The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of age-adjusted D-dimer in the diagnosis of acute pulmonary embolism in the elderly were 96%, 80%, 91% and 90% respectively. The Geneva simplified score showed 84% sensitivity, 85% specificity, 89% positive predictive value and 74% negative predictive value in the diagnosis of acute pulmonary embolism in the elderly. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of the age-adjusted D-dimer combined with simplified Geneva score were 82%, 93%, 96% and 73%, respectively, for the diagnosis of acute pulmonary embolism in the elderly. The sensitivity and specificity of age-adjusted D-dimer combined with simplified Geneva score negative diagnosis of elderly APE were 98%, 72%, respectively,positive predictive value was 87%, negative predictive value was 94%. The ROC curve showed that the AUC of age-adjusted D-dimeric for diagnosing APE was 0.847[95%CI(0.775,0.929),P<0.001], the AUC of simplified Geneva score for diagnosing APE was 0.772[95%CI(0.687,0.857),P<0.001], the AUC of RVED/LVED for diagnosing APE was 0.657[95%CI(0.560,0.754),P=0.004], and the REVD/LEVD cutoff value was 0.46. The AUC of age-adjusted D-dimer combined with simplified Geneva score for diagnosing APE was 0.852[95%CI(0.779,0.925),P<0.001], and the AUC of the combined predictive model for diagnosing elderly APE which including RVED/LVED was 0.857[95%CI(0.786,0.928),P<0.001]. Conclusion The combination of age-adjusted D-dimer and simplified Geneva score has a high predictive value for elderly patients with APE, especially the value of combined predictive model which including RVED/LVED for the diagnosis of elderly APE. When age-adjusted D-dimer combined with simplified Geneva score were negative, it has important clinical significance to exclude the diagnosis of APE.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-12-21
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